League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:00
12.9631.7%
X3.2928.5%
22.3639.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stevenage
LWDLWDWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Newport County
WWDDLDWWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.40
10.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.40goals per match
Newport County conceded1.30
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.20goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.40
10.40
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.70
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.40
On target
5.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%28.0%-3.7 pp
Draw28.5%24.6%-4.0 pp
Away39.8%47.4%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.031.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.0%
1-112.3%
1-09.2%
1-28.5%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.715.25
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%21.9%–39.6% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.5%–43.7% CI
Away FT36.0%27.3%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away50.0%