League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:00
13.1429.9%
X3.0830.5%
22.3739.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
DLWWDDLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Northampton
LDWWLDWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.70goals per match
Northampton conceded1.10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.30
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%28.0%-1.9 pp
Draw30.5%29.1%-1.3 pp
Away39.6%42.9%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

1.031.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
0-012.0%
1-111.4%
1-010.3%
0-29.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.385.15
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%16.6%–37.9% CI
Draw FT43.5%31.9%–55.9% CI
Away FT30.6%20.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.9%
Away40.3%