Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 18:30
12.6935.4%
X3.3228.7%
22.6535.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWLDWWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Bologna
LLWWLWWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.00
Against
6.70
11.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.90goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Parma conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.70
11.30
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.90
Match total
6.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
27.50
Match total
29.40

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
6.90
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%40.0%+4.6 pp
Draw28.7%23.5%-5.2 pp
Away35.9%36.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.331.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.2%
1-111.3%
1-210.4%
0-19.6%
1-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.69
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT22.5%12.3%–37.5% CI
Away FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away65.0%