Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 18:30
12.0646.2%
X3.5027.2%
23.5826.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LDLWDLDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Verona
LLWDDDDLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.10
Against
6.90
8.90
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.70goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.90
8.90
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
32.30
Match total
28.50

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.80
On target
5.40
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%46.0%-0.2 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.5 pp
Away26.6%25.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.481.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-111.5%
0-110.3%
0-09.2%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.79
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.4%
Away51.6%