Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 18:30
11.7454.7%
X3.9624.0%
24.4721.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WWWLLDLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lecce
DLWLLLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.90
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
7.40
9.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
2.70
4.30
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.20goals per match
Lecce conceded2.70
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
7.40
9.30
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.30
Match total
28.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.50
On target
5.00
21%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%65.5%+10.8 pp
Draw24.0%6.9%-17.1 pp
Away21.3%27.6%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS65.5%

Historical average

1.901.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-127.6%
0-26.9%
1-06.9%
1-26.9%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.24
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%