Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 16:15
11.6757.0%
X3.8724.6%
25.1518.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LLLWLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Spal
LLWLWLLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
2.10
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.00goals per match
Spal conceded2.10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.00goals per match
Genoa conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
29.60
Match total
31.00

Shots

7.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%47.5%-9.5 pp
Draw24.6%23.7%-0.8 pp
Away18.5%28.8%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.470.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.6%
1-013.6%
0-111.9%
2-010.2%
1-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.373.93
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away38.1%