Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 20:45
12.1045.4%
X3.6526.1%
23.3528.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Atalanta
DDWLDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
2.70
0.50
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.60
Against
2.50
13.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
2.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.70goals per match
Juventus conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.50
13.00
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
8.70
On target
9.30
18%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%44.8%-0.6 pp
Draw26.1%17.2%-8.9 pp
Away28.5%37.9%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.481.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-010.3%
1-110.3%
2-310.3%
0-310.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.69
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away10.0%