Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 18:30
16.5514.5%
X4.6820.3%
21.4665.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brescia
LWLLDLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Roma
LWDWWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.80
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brescia attack
1.20goals per matchRoma conceded1.80Matchup
Roma attack
1.80goals per matchBrescia conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.10
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
30.80
Match total
26.40
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.70
13%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%18.8%+4.2 pp
Draw20.3%25.0%+4.7 pp
Away65.2%56.3%-8.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS37.5%
Historical average
0.88–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-325.0%
0-218.8%
2-112.5%
1-112.5%
3-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.06–5.69
Average total8.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.518.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away55.0%