Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 18:30
16.5514.5%
X4.6820.3%
21.4665.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LWLLDLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Roma
LWDWWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.80
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded1.80
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Brescia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.10
Match total
6.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
30.80
Match total
26.40

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.70
13%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%18.8%+4.2 pp
Draw20.3%25.0%+4.7 pp
Away65.2%56.3%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

0.882.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-325.0%
0-218.8%
2-112.5%
1-112.5%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.065.69
Average total8.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away55.0%