Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 16:15
11.6159.3%
X4.3022.2%
25.1718.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWWWDWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sassuolo
DWLLDWLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.50
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.40goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.00
Match total
31.60

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.50
On target
5.40
20%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%41.7%-17.7 pp
Draw22.2%41.7%+19.5 pp
Away18.5%16.7%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.251.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
2-216.7%
4-016.7%
1-38.3%
6-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.423.42
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away46.2%