Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 18:30
13.3128.7%
X3.3728.2%
22.2143.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
DLDLLLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Udinese
LLLWLLDDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
7.10N=10
6.30
Against
6.20
9.90
Total
13.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.70goals per match
Udinese conceded1.60
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.90goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.20
9.90
Match total
13.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.80
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
29.80
Match total
23.20

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%29.2%+0.4 pp
Draw28.2%25.0%-3.2 pp
Away43.0%45.8%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

0.961.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.9%
0-211.1%
0-011.1%
1-111.1%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.535.13
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away48.0%