Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 20:45
11.5163.1%
X4.3821.8%
26.2915.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWLLDLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Parma
DWWLLDWDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

10.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
14.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Parma conceded1.70
Matchup

Parma attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
10.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
14.50
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.70
Match total
27.80

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
9.00
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.1%64.0%+0.9 pp
Draw21.8%22.0%+0.2 pp
Away15.1%14.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

2.340.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-112.0%
1-010.0%
2-110.0%
2-08.0%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.083.32
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away46.7%