Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 20:45
11.5163.1%
X4.3821.8%
26.2915.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WWWLLDLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Parma
DWWLLDWDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
10.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
14.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.80goals per matchParma conceded1.70Matchup
Parma attack
1.60goals per matchRoma conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
10.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
14.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.70
Match total
27.80
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
9.00
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.1%64.0%+0.9 pp
Draw21.8%22.0%+0.2 pp
Away15.1%14.0%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS54.0%
Historical average
2.34–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-112.0%
1-010.0%
2-110.0%
2-08.0%
1-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.08–3.32
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.536.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away46.7%