Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 20:45
12.2642.1%
X3.5826.6%
23.0431.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
DLWDDWLDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Sassuolo
DDWLLDWLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.30
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.20goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.40goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
33.40
Match total
30.70

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.00
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%41.2%-0.9 pp
Draw26.6%26.5%-0.1 pp
Away31.3%32.4%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.531.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.8%
1-211.8%
2-111.8%
0-28.8%
4-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.445.03
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away36.4%