Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 20:45
11.3670.2%
X5.4417.6%
27.8312.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LWWWLDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sampdoria
LWLWDLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.60
Against
6.80
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.70
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.80
9.40
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.80
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
28.90
Match total
31.00

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
8.50
On target
4.40
20%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%92.9%+22.6 pp
Draw17.6%7.1%-10.4 pp
Away12.2%0.0%-12.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.710.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.4%
1-021.4%
4-114.3%
3-07.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.003.07
Average total8.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.535.7%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.514.3%
Over 11.57.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away28.6%