Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 18:30
16.1515.5%
X4.0123.8%
21.5760.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WLLLWLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Napoli
LDDWLWWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
8.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Genoa conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
8.40
Match total
10.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.20
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
31.50
Match total
28.30

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.10
On target
6.80
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.5%16.7%+1.2 pp
Draw23.8%16.7%-7.1 pp
Away60.7%66.7%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.591.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS91.7%

Historical average

1.422.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-233.3%
2-216.7%
1-48.3%
3-28.3%
2-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.175.75
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away65.2%