Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 18:30
11.9449.2%
X3.5327.0%
24.0223.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DLDLWDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Cagliari
DDLLDDLLWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.00
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.40
Match total
6.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
33.70
Match total
28.30

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.50
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%38.7%-10.5 pp
Draw27.0%32.1%+5.0 pp
Away23.7%29.2%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.371.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
0-113.2%
1-29.4%
1-09.4%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.56
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away55.9%