Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 20:45
13.3928.2%
X3.3528.5%
22.2143.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WLDDDWDWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Juventus
WWLWWLLWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
2.00
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.40
Against
6.00
11.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Juventus conceded1.20
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.00
11.60
Match total
10.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Match total
6.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
28.60
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.80
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%28.3%+0.1 pp
Draw28.5%28.3%-0.2 pp
Away43.3%43.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

0.981.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-011.7%
0-111.7%
0-011.7%
1-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.425.05
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away52.6%