Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 18:30
17.6412.5%
X5.3617.8%
21.3769.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDLLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lazio
WWWWWDWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
2.30
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
2.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.00
Against
5.70
12.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
2.30
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.70goals per match
Lazio conceded1.20
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.90goals per match
Lecce conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.70
12.30
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
29.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.00
On target
6.00
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.5%20.0%+7.5 pp
Draw17.8%10.0%-7.8 pp
Away69.7%70.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.603.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-420.0%
1-210.0%
1-610.0%
2-710.0%
0-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.707.40
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%