Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 18:30
12.2642.1%
X3.2529.3%
23.3228.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
WLDDWWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
DDDLLDDWWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.30
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.90goals per match
Genoa conceded1.40
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Udinese conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
27.50
Match total
32.00

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%42.1%-0.0 pp
Draw29.3%28.3%-1.0 pp
Away28.6%29.7%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.451.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-012.4%
2-010.3%
2-16.9%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.70
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%30.0%–56.7% CI
Draw FT36.7%24.7%–50.7% CI
Away FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.3%
Away40.8%