Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 18:30
11.9149.9%
X3.5426.9%
24.1123.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
DWLLWDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Spal
DLLWLWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Spal conceded1.80
Matchup

Spal attack

1.00goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.00
Match total
5.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
27.70
Match total
30.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
7.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%48.0%-1.9 pp
Draw26.9%24.8%-2.1 pp
Away23.2%27.2%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.411.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-012.0%
0-110.4%
1-18.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.75
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away51.1%