Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 18:30
13.0031.8%
X3.3828.2%
22.3840.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WLWLDWWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Fiorentina
WLLLDWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.70
Against
6.70
12.00
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.60
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Parma conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.70
12.00
Match total
12.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.50
Match total
26.50

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.80
On target
5.50
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.8%30.1%-1.6 pp
Draw28.2%27.7%-0.5 pp
Away40.0%42.2%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS60.2%

Historical average

1.171.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.1%
1-013.3%
1-212.0%
0-27.2%
2-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.995.27
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.3%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.5%