Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 18:30
15.4917.3%
X4.5520.9%
21.5461.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WWWWLLDLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
DDDWLDWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.90
2.00
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
3.00
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.40
Against
2.20
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
4.40
Total goals
4.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.80
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
2.20
9.50
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.20
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
27.50
Match total
28.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
6.10
On target
9.00
22%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%21.4%+4.1 pp
Draw20.9%14.3%-6.6 pp
Away61.8%64.3%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.001.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
0-214.3%
2-47.1%
1-07.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.57
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away60.0%