Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 16:15
11.4864.5%
X4.4521.5%
26.8014.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWDWDDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Bologna
LLLWWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.60
Against
6.30
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.80
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.70goals per match
Inter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.30
9.40
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
27.50
Match total
29.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
8.20
On target
6.50
18%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%56.5%-8.0 pp
Draw21.5%26.1%+4.6 pp
Away14.0%17.4%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.552.2%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

2.431.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-113.0%
2-213.0%
1-08.7%
1-28.7%
4-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.353.74
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.2%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals68.8%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away43.8%