Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 20:45
12.3540.6%
X3.3028.9%
23.1330.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Milan
LWWLWWLDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
9.90
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
7.00
On target
6.30
21%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%40.0%-0.6 pp
Draw28.9%32.9%+4.0 pp
Away30.5%27.1%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.451.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-011.6%
1-09.0%
2-17.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.88
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.537.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%12.2%–34.0% CI
Draw FT55.8%42.3%–68.4% CI
Away FT23.1%13.7%–36.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away48.1%