Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 18:30
11.5063.4%
X4.6120.6%
25.9715.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LWLDLWWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
DDLWLLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.50
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.00
Against
7.80
12.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.60
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.00goals per match
Lecce conceded2.50
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
7.80
12.70
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.30
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
29.40
Match total
27.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.20
On target
5.40
19%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%68.2%+4.8 pp
Draw20.6%18.2%-2.5 pp
Away15.9%13.6%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.360.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.2%
2-013.6%
1-19.1%
2-29.1%
3-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.14
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%