Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-02 · 18:30
12.1145.1%
X3.6526.1%
23.3128.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LLWWWLDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Napoli
DLDDWLWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.00
90%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.30
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
4.10
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.60goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.10
Match total
5.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
29.10
Match total
28.20

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
8.40
On target
6.40
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%40.0%-5.1 pp
Draw26.1%23.3%-2.8 pp
Away28.8%36.7%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.471.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-110.0%
2-310.0%
0-310.0%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.67
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away25.0%