Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:45
11.9947.9%
X3.3328.6%
24.0723.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LWWLDWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Parma
DDWWLLDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Against
6.50
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.60goals per match
Parma conceded1.50
Matchup

Parma attack

1.50goals per match
Verona conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.50
9.30
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.80
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.30
Match total
28.90

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.90
16%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%44.6%-3.3 pp
Draw28.6%28.4%-0.3 pp
Away23.4%27.0%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.461.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.5%
2-110.1%
1-29.5%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.36
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%30.0%–56.7% CI
Draw FT32.7%21.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away36.7%