Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:45
15.7916.5%
X4.0023.9%
21.6059.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WDLDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Milan
LLWWLWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.60goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Spal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.50
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%20.0%+3.5 pp
Draw23.9%6.7%-17.2 pp
Away59.7%73.3%+13.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.001.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-240.0%
0-120.0%
3-26.7%
0-26.7%
1-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.13
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away75.0%