Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:45
13.4427.7%
X3.5426.9%
22.1045.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDDLLDWWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sampdoria
LLWLWDLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
2.30
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
2.60
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.10
Against
6.80
12.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
2.30
Goals conceded
1.80
4.10
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.80
12.10
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
29.50
Match total
31.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%33.3%+5.6 pp
Draw26.9%30.0%+3.1 pp
Away45.4%36.7%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.571.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.3%
2-413.3%
2-110.0%
2-210.0%
1-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.30
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away46.2%