Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:45
12.0546.4%
X3.6026.4%
23.5127.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LDLDLWDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Sassuolo
DDDWLLDWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.20
8.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.20
8.60
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
33.00
Match total
30.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%37.5%-8.9 pp
Draw26.4%32.1%+5.7 pp
Away27.1%30.4%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.431.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-012.5%
0-18.9%
1-27.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.27
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away46.7%