Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:30
12.0746.0%
X3.5127.1%
23.5426.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
LDLWDDWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Cagliari
WDDLLDDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
10.60
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.20goals per matchCagliari conceded1.60Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.20goals per matchBologna conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
10.60
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
33.30
Match total
27.90
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%46.8%+0.8 pp
Draw27.1%35.5%+8.4 pp
Away26.9%17.7%-9.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.52–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.0%
1-017.7%
2-08.1%
0-06.5%
2-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.82–4.63
Average total10.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away43.8%