Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:30
12.0746.0%
X3.5127.1%
23.5426.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LDLWDDWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Cagliari
WDDLLDDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
10.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.20goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
10.60
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Match total
6.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
33.30
Match total
27.90

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%46.8%+0.8 pp
Draw27.1%35.5%+8.4 pp
Away26.9%17.7%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.521.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.0%
1-017.7%
2-08.1%
0-06.5%
2-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.824.63
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%