Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 20:45
19.3110.3%
X4.7020.4%
21.3869.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LWLLLWLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Juventus
DWWLWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.00
Against
6.10
8.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Juventus conceded1.20
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.10
8.00
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Match total
6.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
32.10
Match total
29.40

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.50
On target
5.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.3%0.0%-10.3 pp
Draw20.4%42.9%+22.5 pp
Away69.4%57.1%-12.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

0.932.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-228.6%
0-214.3%
1-114.3%
0-414.3%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.645.21
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.57.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals84.6%
3+ goals53.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away76.9%