Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 18:30
12.3840.0%
X3.3328.6%
23.0431.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
DDWLLWDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bologna
LLLLWWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Bologna conceded1.80
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
6.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.80
Match total
30.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.20
On target
6.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%41.1%+1.1 pp
Draw28.6%29.9%+1.3 pp
Away31.3%29.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.381.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.1%
1-111.2%
1-210.3%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.80
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.562.6%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Away FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.8%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away47.1%