Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 18:30
12.3840.0%
X3.3328.6%
23.0431.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
DDWLLWDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bologna
LLLLWWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.40goals per matchBologna conceded1.80Matchup
Bologna attack
1.50goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.80
Match total
30.30
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.20
On target
6.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%41.1%+1.1 pp
Draw28.6%29.9%+1.3 pp
Away31.3%29.0%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.38–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-012.1%
1-111.2%
1-210.3%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.73–4.80
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.562.6%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.538.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Away FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.8%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals8.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.3%
Away47.1%