League Two · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 15:00
14.3021.8%
X3.3028.5%
21.8949.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southend
LLLDLDDLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Newport County
LLWLWWLLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
0.60
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.90
Against
4.60
9.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
1.30
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southend attack

0.30goals per match
Newport County conceded1.20
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.20goals per match
Southend conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.60
9.70
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.60
Match total
25.00

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
2.90
On target
3.50
3%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%19.2%-2.6 pp
Draw28.5%26.9%-1.5 pp
Away49.7%53.8%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.511.5%
BTTS42.3%

Historical average

0.771.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.2%
1-115.4%
0-215.4%
2-17.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.005.50
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%