Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 16:15
12.7135.1%
X3.4227.8%
22.5637.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWLDDDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Roma
DWLWDWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
11.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Roma conceded1.40
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
11.50
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.50
Match total
26.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.90
On target
5.80
8%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%40.7%+5.6 pp
Draw27.8%27.9%+0.1 pp
Away37.1%31.4%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.451.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
1-111.6%
1-29.3%
3-18.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.275.05
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away57.1%