Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 16:15
12.7135.1%
X3.4227.8%
22.5637.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
DWLDDDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Roma
DWLWDWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
11.50
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.10goals per matchRoma conceded1.40Matchup
Roma attack
2.10goals per matchMilan conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
11.50
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.50
Match total
26.90
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.90
On target
5.80
8%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%40.7%+5.6 pp
Draw27.8%27.9%+0.1 pp
Away37.1%31.4%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS59.3%
Historical average
1.45–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.6%
1-111.6%
1-29.3%
3-18.1%
1-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–5.05
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals32.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away57.1%