Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 20:45
11.6258.9%
X4.0623.5%
25.4217.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Fiorentina
DWLLLDWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
12.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
2.90goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.40Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.30goals per matchLazio conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
12.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.60
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
7.40
On target
5.60
22%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.9%57.1%-1.8 pp
Draw23.5%14.3%-9.2 pp
Away17.6%28.6%+11.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS45.7%
Historical average
1.77–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.4%
3-011.4%
1-211.4%
2-08.6%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–4.14
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away45.5%