Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 20:45
11.6258.9%
X4.0623.5%
25.4217.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Fiorentina
DWLLLDWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.40
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
12.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.60
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
7.40
On target
5.60
22%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.9%57.1%-1.8 pp
Draw23.5%14.3%-9.2 pp
Away17.6%28.6%+11.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.770.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.4%
3-011.4%
1-211.4%
2-08.6%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.14
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away45.5%