Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 18:30
12.4139.5%
X3.2629.2%
23.0531.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DWWWWLLDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Torino
LLWWDWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.40
Against
7.80
9.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.70
4.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.10goals per match
Torino conceded1.70
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.80
9.50
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
28.40
Match total
31.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%41.7%+2.2 pp
Draw29.2%34.4%+5.2 pp
Away31.2%23.8%-7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.441.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-011.9%
2-19.9%
0-07.9%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.565.17
Average total10.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.5%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.550.3%
Over 11.541.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.9%34.5%–61.7% CI
Away FT25.0%14.9%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away54.2%