Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 18:30
12.4139.5%
X3.2629.2%
23.0531.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
DWWWWLLDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Torino
LLWWDWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.40
Against
7.80
9.50
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.70
4.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
2.10goals per matchTorino conceded1.70Matchup
Torino attack
1.20goals per matchCagliari conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.80
9.50
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
28.40
Match total
31.00
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
19%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%41.7%+2.2 pp
Draw29.2%34.4%+5.2 pp
Away31.2%23.8%-7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.44–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
1-011.9%
2-19.9%
0-07.9%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–5.17
Average total10.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.5%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.550.3%
Over 11.541.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.9%34.5%–61.7% CI
Away FT25.0%14.9%–38.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.1%
Away54.2%