League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
12.1743.2%
X3.2129.2%
23.3927.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
DWLWDWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Newport County
DLLWLWWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
10.40
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.20goals per matchNewport County conceded1.30Matchup
Newport County attack
1.30goals per matchExeter conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
10.40
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
0.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.50
Match total
24.60
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches296
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%40.2%-3.0 pp
Draw29.2%35.8%+6.6 pp
Away27.6%24.0%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.24–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.6%
0-013.2%
1-012.2%
2-08.8%
0-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.22
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=296.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%25.0%–41.6% CI
Draw FT49.6%40.8%–58.4% CI
Away FT17.6%11.8%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals7.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.3%
Away38.7%