League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
12.1344.0%
X3.3528.0%
23.3528.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
LLLDWLLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Harrogate
LDLWLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.40
11.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.30goals per match
Harrogate conceded1.60
Matchup

Harrogate attack

1.20goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.40
11.40
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.80
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.60
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.60
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%41.6%-2.5 pp
Draw28.0%30.1%+2.1 pp
Away28.0%28.3%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.431.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-010.0%
2-09.1%
0-19.1%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.44
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.5%21.6%–41.1% CI
Draw FT45.1%34.8%–55.9% CI
Away FT24.4%16.4%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away50.0%