Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 16:15
13.0031.7%
X3.4227.8%
22.3540.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brescia
LLLWLLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Genoa
LDDDLLDDWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brescia attack
0.90goals per matchGenoa conceded1.40Matchup
Genoa attack
1.20goals per matchBrescia conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.60
Match total
6.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
31.90
Match total
32.30
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%30.5%-1.2 pp
Draw27.8%25.6%-2.2 pp
Away40.5%43.9%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS58.5%
Historical average
1.15–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.1%
1-013.4%
1-212.2%
0-17.3%
0-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.05–5.24
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away52.4%