Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 16:15
13.0031.7%
X3.4227.8%
22.3540.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LLLWLLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Genoa
LDDDLLDDWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.90goals per match
Genoa conceded1.40
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Brescia conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.60
Match total
6.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
31.90
Match total
32.30

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%30.5%-1.2 pp
Draw27.8%25.6%-2.2 pp
Away40.5%43.9%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.151.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
1-013.4%
1-212.2%
0-17.3%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.055.24
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away52.4%