Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-26 · 20:45
11.1583.4%
X8.4911.3%
218.055.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Lecce
LDDLWLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
7.50
12.60
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.40
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.30goals per match
Lecce conceded2.40
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Juventus conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.50
12.60
Match total
11.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.30
Match total
27.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
9.00
On target
5.40
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.4%94.7%+11.3 pp
Draw11.3%0.0%-11.3 pp
Away5.3%5.3%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.568.4%
BTTS42.1%

Historical average

3.320.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.8%
5-015.8%
4-115.8%
4-010.5%
3-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.682.53
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%