Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 20:45
11.4764.8%
X4.5620.9%
26.6414.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
DWWWWLLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sampdoria
LLLWLWDLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
13.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
13.00
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
26.90
Match total
31.40

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
8.70
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%77.8%+13.0 pp
Draw20.9%16.7%-4.2 pp
Away14.3%5.6%-8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

2.670.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
3-113.9%
3-011.1%
1-18.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.89
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals46.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%