League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
12.2841.2%
X3.2029.3%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
WLLLDWLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Port Vale
LDLLDLLWWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.90
Against
5.70
11.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.40goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.60
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.10goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.70
11.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.20
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.1%-0.1 pp
Draw29.3%32.9%+3.6 pp
Away29.5%26.0%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.291.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
0-011.6%
1-010.7%
0-19.7%
2-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.66
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%17.1%–32.1% CI
Draw FT44.3%35.8%–53.1% CI
Away FT32.0%24.4%–40.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away48.4%