League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
12.2841.2%
X3.2029.3%
23.1829.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carlisle
WLLLDWLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Port Vale
LDLLDLLWWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.90
Against
5.70
11.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carlisle attack
1.40goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.60Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.10goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.70
11.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.20
Match total
24.60
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.1%-0.1 pp
Draw29.3%32.9%+3.6 pp
Away29.5%26.0%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.29–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
0-011.6%
1-010.7%
0-19.7%
2-19.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.66
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.524.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%17.1%–32.1% CI
Draw FT44.3%35.8%–53.1% CI
Away FT32.0%24.4%–40.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.6%
Away48.4%