League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-13 · 19:00
12.7534.2%
X3.0131.2%
22.7234.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
LDWLDLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Carlisle
LWLDLLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.70goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.40
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.10goals per match
Newport County conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.00
On target
3.40
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%33.5%-0.7 pp
Draw31.2%34.8%+3.5 pp
Away34.6%31.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.071.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.5%
0-012.2%
1-012.2%
0-111.6%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.604.43
Average total9.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.520.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%22.4%–44.2% CI
Draw FT45.6%34.3%–57.3% CI
Away FT22.1%13.8%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.2%