Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 20:45
12.1244.9%
X3.7325.5%
23.2329.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WLLWWWLDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
LDWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.50
Against
5.30
9.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
4.40
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

3.00goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.30
9.60
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.20
Match total
6.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
9.10
On target
6.10
19%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%40.7%-4.2 pp
Draw25.5%25.9%+0.4 pp
Away29.5%33.3%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.441.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.5%
0-011.1%
2-311.1%
3-17.4%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.48
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away14.3%