Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 18:30
11.3868.9%
X5.0019.0%
27.8412.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
LDWWDWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sassuolo
WDDDWLLDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.20
Match total
6.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.40
Match total
29.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
7.10
On target
5.10
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.9%58.3%-10.5 pp
Draw19.0%29.2%+10.2 pp
Away12.1%12.5%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.000.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-016.7%
1-116.7%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.543.42
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%50.5%–89.8% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals68.8%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away25.0%