League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
12.8832.6%
X3.1929.4%
22.4738.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WLDWLDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bolton
WDDLWWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.80goals per match
Bolton conceded0.90
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.50goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.20
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.90
Match total
22.50

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.00
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%31.7%-0.9 pp
Draw29.4%31.7%+2.3 pp
Away38.0%36.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.131.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.3%
0-113.4%
1-09.2%
0-08.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.75
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI
Draw FT46.0%33.0%–59.6% CI
Away FT24.0%14.3%–37.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away56.0%