League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 13:00
13.1429.9%
X3.2029.4%
22.3140.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southend
WWLLLLDLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Carlisle
LWLWLDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
0.60
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.80
Against
6.60
9.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.40
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southend attack

0.50goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.30
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.80goals per match
Southend conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.60
9.50
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.10
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%31.7%+1.7 pp
Draw29.4%27.3%-2.0 pp
Away40.7%41.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

1.081.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
1-012.2%
1-111.5%
0-09.4%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.13
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.5%8.7%–31.9% CI
Draw FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away52.5%