League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 15:00
13.1429.9%
X3.2728.7%
22.2641.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
DLWLWDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Exeter
LDLWDWLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.10
Against
5.30
7.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.20goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.10goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.30
7.10
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.70
Match total
1.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%29.8%-0.1 pp
Draw28.7%27.5%-1.1 pp
Away41.5%42.7%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

1.011.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.5%
1-112.9%
1-011.8%
0-07.9%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.495.09
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%14.6%–36.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away51.9%