Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 20:45
12.2143.2%
X3.2929.1%
23.4527.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DLWLLLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Parma
DDDWWLLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.10
Against
7.50
8.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Parma conceded1.60
Matchup

Parma attack

1.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
7.50
8.50
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
7.00
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
31.80
Match total
27.90

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.60
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%43.8%+0.5 pp
Draw29.1%29.4%+0.4 pp
Away27.7%26.8%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.451.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-011.8%
2-010.5%
0-09.2%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.36
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%25.2%–51.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%28.8%–55.7% CI
Away FT20.8%11.7%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away39.6%