League Two · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 15:00
12.8433.0%
X3.0630.6%
22.5836.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barrow
LWDWLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Newport County
DDDLLWLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
8.10
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barrow attack
1.10goals per matchNewport County conceded1.20Matchup
Newport County attack
1.30goals per matchBarrow conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
8.10
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
0.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.10
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.90
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%36.2%+3.2 pp
Draw30.6%29.9%-0.7 pp
Away36.3%33.9%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS37.8%
Historical average
1.02–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.0%
1-014.2%
0-113.4%
1-111.0%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.29–4.41
Average total8.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.2%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.526.8%
Over 11.517.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%21.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT43.9%31.8%–56.7% CI
Away FT24.6%15.2%–37.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.6%
Away40.4%